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伦敦急缺出租房,房东好时机!期房销售飙升,谁在推动市场?

莎粉们周一好,欢迎来到《丽莎房产快讯》。本周,我们要带大家看的房产新闻有:

  • 伦敦出租房数量减少44%,租金涨幅夸张,租房者急求新的出租房….
  • 英国待售房产依旧短缺,助推了期房(Off-Plan)的销售量….
  • 政府要求商业建筑的能源性能证书一定要达到要求,大批小型业主根本无力负担
  • 英格兰又推出新基金,助力建造1,200套经济适用房…
  • 政府加强对社会住房租户的支持,没有合格的房东将被在社交媒体上公开点名!

伦敦出租房数量减少,租户有苦说不出

近几年,受到税收和监管的影响,大批Buy-To-Let房东已退出市场了,可用的租赁房源本来就减少了。在这样的情况下,大批年轻人在疫情结束后返回大城市居住,这给租赁市场带来双重打击。

根据《Evening & Standard》报道,英国各地房产市场上的公寓和别墅数量面临空前滑坡。特别在伦敦,上个月,出租物业数量比2021年下降了44%,比疫情开始前的水平低25%。因此,伦敦的租房者感到很绝望,正在到处寻找住所。

据TwentyCI公司提供的数据显示,3月份,伦敦只有74,766套住宅物业可供出租,而去年同月为132,964套,2018年至2020年期间平均为100,274套。

跌幅最大的是伦敦的伊斯灵顿区(Lslington),同比下降58%,现在那里只有2509套物业可供出租;接下来是伦敦市区,同比下降54,仅有375套房产可供出租;接下来是兰贝斯(Lambeth),下降了53%,市场仅有2834套物业可供出租;跌幅最小的是贝克斯利(Bexley),那里只有633套房产可供出租,下降10%。

毫无疑问,租房市场的短缺使租金飙升到创纪录的水平,加剧了租户的经济压力!第一太平戴维斯表示,黄金地段的租金上涨了11%,这是自2010年以来首次出现两位数的增长。同时,莱坊公司也表示,他们看到了更快的增长,伦敦市中心的租金增长了23.3%,伦敦外围的租金增长了19%。

同时,2月份新注册的潜在租户数量比5年平均水平高出49%。

Generation Rent副主任Dan Wilson Craw对《Evening & Standard》评论:“自2021年夏天以来,返回伦敦的人蜂拥而至,租来的房子一上市就被抢购一空。大多数已经在伦敦的租房者都在避免搬家,如果他们能帮助的话,因为现在的租金要贵得多。”

很明显,这对那些不得不搬家的租户来说是一个坏消息,他们根本无法负担得起现在的租金。

代理商第一太平戴维斯的住宅研究总监Lucian Cook称:”伦敦的租房市场从来没有在供需平衡方面出现这么大的波动。2020年,我们看到主要买家群体的需求枯竭,而未出租的存量急剧增加。但这种情况的转变程度和速度让我们所有人都大吃一惊”

莱坊的租赁主管Gary Hall说:“有一些局部的例子表明,随着供应量的增加,平衡已经有点向租户倾斜了,但总体情况仍然相当不平衡,这应该在一段时间内保持租金价值的上升压力。”

待售房屋短缺,助长期房的销售

今天,Hamptons发布了英国最新待售房产数据。

该数据显示,全国范围内的待售房屋依旧出现短缺的现象,这助长了期房(Off-Plan)的销售,这是自2016年以来首次上升。

据了解,去年,英格兰和威尔士售出的37%的新房在完工前就已经找到了买家,高于2020年的35%水平。虽然销售量仍低于2017年47%的峰值,但它们扭转了随后的下降趋势,并意味着2021年的期房销售量超过了2007年——即Hamptons最初记录该数据时间。

期房销售增长的关键原因是房屋购买量的增加。2021年,24%的独立屋完成量是在计划外销售的,而前一年是21%。半独立式房屋的计划外销售从31%上升到33%,排屋从41%上升到45%。

同时,公寓在竣工前的销售比例从2020年的50%下降到去年的44%,这标志着自2007年以来,排屋比公寓更有可能在计划外销售。这意味着,在所有期房销售中,现在只有37%是公寓,低于2016年的53%和2008年的69%峰值。

大多数新建房屋的买家在交换合同时支付10%的标准定金,余额在完工时支付,去年买家交出了创纪录的11亿英镑定金。这是在2007年支付的3.48亿英镑的三倍。

Hamptons分析,在2016年之前,当业主买第二套房产时要加上3%附加费后,期房的销售量是由投资者推动的。然而,如今,期房的买家越来越可能是寻求房屋的自住者,这种趋势因疫情而加剧。

科茨沃尔德区(Cotswold District)的房屋越来越有可能以期房的方式出售,而且当地的可用住房的库存水平是全国最低的,因此,该区的期房销售量最大。

在这里,去年竣工的新房有86%在建成之前就已经售出。相反,伦敦的期房销售却有点下降了。五年前,期房的销售比例最高的前10个行政区中,有6个位于伦敦,但在2021年,这一比例下降到2个。

经过近四年的下跌,期房的销售终于得到了增长,将为开发商提供喘息的机会。即使”Help-To-Buy”结束,他们也可以期待销售量持平。

不过,Hamptons坦言,这种短期的转变是否有可能变成一个长期的趋势还有待观察。但是可以确定的变化是,2022年是这些自住者推动期房的销售,而不是投资者。

商业房产环保新要求有可能淹没小型业主

据媒体报道,最低能源效率标准目前已提交议会。政府要求,英国的每套商业建筑都必须在2025年之前必须拿到能源性能证书,并且在2027年之前至少达到C级,2030年之前达到B级的标准。在大多数情况下,那些没有达到标准的建筑将被视为非法出租。

根据英国绿色建筑委员会的数据,英国的温室气体排放直接占全国总量的四分之一,该立法是为了绿化英国建筑的重要工具。

然而,有数据显示,目前英国城市中有85%的办公室评级是低于B级。也就是说,商业地产行业需要清除巨大的障碍。

据第一太平戴维斯介绍,商业地产的业主们正在努力确保办公室符合新的排放法规,以为致力于自己的企业更加环保。为了使英国的办公室达到新的环境标准,业主们估计必须得花费超过600亿英镑来进行改革。

对于大城市和伦敦的大型商业建筑的业主来说,他们也许有能力找到足够的资金来完成这样的任务,并且可以买到更好的绝缘材料、新设备以及支付清洁能源费用,因为他们每平方英尺的资本价值够高。

但在一些平均租金比较低的城市,小型业主则头疼了,他们将陷入困境,建筑价值将进入螺旋式下降的风险。

第一太平戴维斯的商业地产研究主管Mat Oakley对媒体表示:“最有挑战的是那些二级城市,那里的租金最多只有20英镑一平方英尺。如何证明花80英镑一平方英尺(使建筑符合新标准)是合理的?”

英格兰又要添加1200多套经济适用房

上周,英国住房部公布了一项400万英镑的社区住房基金,以帮助社区团体在其当地设计和建造房产。通过这笔资金,社区团体将可以为社会建造1200多套新的经济适用房。

据了解,该基金将包括搜索费、规划申请费、设计费以及租用市政厅举行公共会议的费用。一旦获得规划许可,社区团体可以通过政府的经济适用房计划、住房协会、开发商或银行贷款申请资金来建造房产。

这些房屋旨在使那些在当地难以负担住房的人受益,社区将负责决定这些房产的建造方式和地点。

据了解,该计划是政府通过改造废弃地区和提供当地人能够负担得起的房屋来提升国家水平的一部分。新的房产将是基于当地的组织的一部分,如土地信托或住房合作社,这意味着它们将保持在社区的控制之下。

政府还认为,社区主导的住房有助于提高房屋的设计和施工质量,并为小型房屋建筑商创造项目工作机会,这反过来又促进了当地经济。

该基金将用于在英格兰提供52个住房项目,从康沃尔郡到特威德河畔贝里克。这些项目将使那些本来在当地难以负担住房的人受益,同时确保新的房产满足社区的需求,并与社区保持一致。

政府加强对社会住房租户的保护

据政府官网介绍,为重点改革社会房(政府福利房),创造优质的居住环境。政府将会通过立法来实现以及改变居民的居住体验,对社会房东的监管方式进行重大改革。

政府说,他们会点名批评那些不合格的政府福利住房供应商,对他们提供的房屋和服务进行问责,同时把他们的名字在政府的网站和社交媒体渠道上公布出来。此外,政府也允许居民有更大的发言权并推动住宅标准的提高。

政府称,该举措还会包括一个居民小组,允许住在政府福利房的租户直接听取政府的意见。来自英格兰各地的约250名政府福利房租户将被邀请分享他们的经验,并帮助政府确保改革能够推动标准的提高。

总体来说,此次发布的措施总结如下:

在社交媒体上公布房东违反监管机构消费者标准的情况,或住房监察员对其作出最严重的调查结果。

推出居民小组,邀请居民对如何提高社会住房质量发表意见。该小组将允许居民审查和影响加强体面住宅标准的措施、工作人员的培训和资格、新的信息获取计划和其他计划中的改革。

公布立法条款草案,通过更严厉的消费者权益、更多的执法工具来解决失败的房东和社会房东的新责任来改革社会住房的监管。

一份新的概况介绍,解释社会住房监管机构和住房监察员服务的作用。

推出单一的gov.uk网页,列出了政府在实施社会住房白皮书中的措施的进展,以及为改善社会住房质量而推出的进一步措施。

如果住在这些社会房的租户们对房东的服务不满意,可以立刻向当地住房检察员提出问题。

好了,本期《丽莎房产快讯》就到这里。我们下期再见。

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